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Market Analyses

Market Analyses for Energy Storage systems

Since the introduction of the German Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG) in 2000, the power plant landscape in Germany has already changed considerably. There has been an enormous increase in wind power and photovoltaic plants. An oversupply of power plant services increasingly led to the uneconomical operation of peak load power plants, which also included pumped storage power plants. The installed capacity of base load power plants declined continuously. This process has not yet been completed. The biggest changes still lie ahead.
Renewables Energies Energy Storage Simulations & Analytics

Range of Services

Energy Storage Forecast Models (Prices and Spread) Forecasts on Power Plant Composition Cost-effectiveness Models for Storage Systems Market Simulations (2020 - 2050) Operating Simulations (2020 - 2050) Determination of Demand for Peak Load Power Plants Determination of Demand for Baseload Power Plants Determination of Short-Term Storage Requirements Determination of Long-Term Storage Demand Price Spread Analyses The electricity price spread is influenced by several factors and is the most important economic indicator for electricity storage facilities. With a share of renewable energies of more than 50% in the overall system, however, the influence of renewable energy generation becomes dominant. Here, the generation composition (wind / PV / biomass) plays a decisive role. For Central Europe, a significant increase in the electricity price spread is expected in the next decade. REESSA Consulting prepares price spread forecast models for meaningful feasibility studies and for the evaluation of energy storage facilities. Storage and Peak Load Power Plants Classic base-load power plants with high capacity utilization will be replaced by flexible gas-fired and storage power plants in the future. In an initial phase, storage facilities will serve to optimize the system by means of short-term storage and limiting fossil peak load power plants. In a second phase, long-term storage facilities will then also be able to replace fossil gas-fired power plants (goal of 100% full supply from renewable energies).
Forecast model - Production in Germany (one week January)
The pace of change on the German power plant market will accelerate in the coming years. By 2023, the remaining 10 GW of the installed base load from nuclear power plants will be completely removed from the grid. At the same time, according to the plans of the so-called Coal Commission, up to 15 GW of additional lignite and hard coal capacity is to be shut down. These changes will once again have a major impact on the market. Peak-load power plants, which also include storage facilities, will again experience stronger demand. Gas-fired power plants, in particular, must increasingly provide the base and medium loads in addition to their function as peak-load power plants. In addition, the planned expansion of renewable energies must be further integrated into this system. The technical and economic challenges are enormous. REESSA Consulting offers detailed market analyses and forecast models to evaluate complex market developments from an economic and technical perspective. Here, too, our focus is on energy storage technologies, which have to take on important tasks during the conversion of the energy system.
Preis-Spread Prognosis
By 2023, all nuclear power plants in Germany will be decommissioned. By 2038, lignite and hard coal units are to follow. Gas and storage power plants will be the most important controllable power plant outputs.
The amount of backup power required to secure base-load demand will decrease only slightly. However, the majority of controllable power plants will have ever lower full load hours.